Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.045902 0.049977 0.054258 0.059095 0.064412 0.070084 0.076598
2026-01-18 0.039014 0.044984 0.051662 0.059703 0.069147 0.079916 0.093167
2026-01-25 0.033373 0.040348 0.048565 0.059005 0.071977 0.087641 0.108109
2026-02-01 0.028662 0.036046 0.045134 0.057213 0.072959 0.092936 0.120440
2026-02-08 0.025140 0.032703 0.042366 0.055725 0.073884 0.097949 0.132656
2026-02-15 0.022347 0.029940 0.039964 0.054310 0.074549 0.102435 0.144377
2026-02-22 0.020681 0.028470 0.039067 0.054729 0.077607 0.110305 0.161480
2026-03-01 0.018625 0.026246 0.036891 0.053069 0.077433 0.113397 0.171706
2026-03-08 0.016464 0.023678 0.033985 0.050040 0.074874 0.112595 0.175706
2026-03-15 0.015111 0.022167 0.032475 0.048921 0.075042 0.115854 0.186310
2026-03-22 0.014412 0.021564 0.032249 0.049714 0.078204 0.124019 0.205688
2026-03-29 0.013784 0.021013 0.032044 0.050494 0.081369 0.132407 0.226245
2026-04-05 0.012893 0.020008 0.031086 0.050026 0.082510 0.137662 0.242164
2026-04-12 0.012133 0.019160 0.030316 0.049810 0.084066 0.143785 0.260391
2026-04-19 0.011308 0.018146 0.029203 0.048916 0.084348 0.147672 0.274867
2026-04-26 0.010428 0.016980 0.027752 0.047315 0.083216 0.148864 0.284236
2026-05-03 0.009689 0.016001 0.026547 0.046044 0.082558 0.150840 0.295326
2026-05-10 0.009032 0.015119 0.025446 0.044868 0.081960 0.152838 0.306627
2026-05-17 0.008677 0.014734 0.025181 0.045195 0.084222 0.160562 0.330764
2026-05-24 0.008090 0.013902 0.024068 0.043845 0.083100 0.161424 0.340137
2026-05-31 0.007383 0.012818 0.022433 0.041387 0.079579 0.157079 0.337454
2026-06-07 0.006952 0.012208 0.021630 0.040478 0.079109 0.159014 0.349231
2026-06-14 0.006766 0.012034 0.021620 0.041121 0.081871 0.168025 0.378507